Conf = ACC
Nickname = NC Blue Devil Coach = John DanowGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 97.8098602 home-field advantage = -0.69 Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 203 H Bellarmine ASUN ( 9- 8, 88.2) 20-12 210 A High Point Atlantic 10 ( 9- 7, 91.9) 21- 9 217 H St Josephs (PA) Atlantic 10 (12- 4, 94.2) 19-10 223 H Jacksonville ASUN (13- 5, 91.2) 23- 7 301 H Penn Ivy ( 9- 6, 94.3) 12-14 303 H Princeton Ivy (11- 5, 96.3) 17- 8 309 A Loyola (MD) Patriot ( 7- 8, 92.8) 16-10 313 H Providence Big East ( 7- 8, 92.1) 21- 6 316 A Richmond Atlantic 10 (10- 6, 93.6) 12- 3 320 A Syracuse ACC (12- 5, 97.4) 4-10 324 N Denver Big East (12- 3, 96.2) 11- 7 327 H Boston University Patriot (10- 7, 93.6) 11-10 407 H Notre Dame ACC (13- 1, 99.9) 12-15 414 H Virginia ACC (11- 5, 97.8) 18-12 427 A North Carolina ACC ( 7- 7, 94.4) 12-15 503 N Syracuse ACC (12- 5, 97.4) 18-13 505 N Notre Dame ACC (13- 1, 99.9) 6-16 511 H Utah ASUN (12- 5, 92.2) 19- 7 518 N Maryland B1G ( 9- 5, 96.3)
PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction. N/A when ten | | goal limit is exceeded | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 203 H Bellarmine 20-12 8 10 0.00 210 A High Point 21- 9 12 5 1.76 217 H St Josephs (PA) 19-10 9 4 + 2.74 223 H Jacksonville 23- 7 16 7 0.00 301 H Penn 12-14 -2 4 --- -6.16 303 H Princeton 17- 8 9 2 ++ 4.76 309 A Loyola (MD) 16-10 6 4 1.65 313 H Providence 21- 6 15 6 0.55 316 A Richmond 12- 3 9 3 + 3.54 320 A Syracuse 4-10 -6 0 -- -5.70 324 N Denver 11- 7 4 1 + 2.41 327 H Boston University 11-10 1 4 - -3.90 407 H Notre Dame 12-15 -3 -1 -1.60 414 H Virginia 18-12 6 0 ++ 5.26 427 A North Carolina 12-15 -3 2 -- -5.70 503 N Syracuse 18-13 5 0 ++ 4.60 505 N Notre Dame 6-16 -10 -2 -- -4.90 511 H Utah 19- 7 12 6 0.69UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 301 H Penn 12-14 -2 4 --- -6.16 320 A Syracuse 4-10 -6 0 -- -5.70 427 A North Carolina 12-15 -3 2 -- -5.70 505 N Notre Dame 6-16 -10 -2 -- -4.90 327 H Boston University 11-10 1 4 - -3.90OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 303 H Princeton 17- 8 9 2 ++ 4.76 414 H Virginia 18-12 6 0 ++ 5.26 503 N Syracuse 18-13 5 0 ++ 4.60 217 H St Josephs (PA) 19-10 9 4 + 2.74 316 A Richmond 12- 3 9 3 + 3.54 324 N Denver 11- 7 4 1 + 2.41
RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Power Rating............. 97.80 Power Rank................. 2 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 87.27 SOS (PR) Rank.............. 5 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .7142 SOS (RPI) Rank............. 1 RPI Rating............... .6675 RPI Rank................... 2 Champ. Probability ...... 9.0 Championship Rank ......... 2 Selection sum ........... 5 Selection Rank ............ 1 Qual Win (PR) Rating..... 85. Qual Win (PR) Rank......... 3 Qual Win (RPI) Rating.... 90. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........ 2 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals ..... 15.1 Ave Defensive Goals ....... 10.2 Wins/Losses(all )...... 13- 5 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 4.9 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... 8.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 2- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... 4.5 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 3- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 4.3 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 2.3